Managing risk in construction contracts: what the market is telling us right now


1st May 2026

Construction risk has rarely felt more immediate. Cost volatility, pressured supply chains and increasing delivery complexity are reshaping how clients and contractors think about risk.

Insights from Blake Morgan’s recent construction risk webinar, supported by live poll data from attendees, provide a useful snapshot of current market sentiment. What emerges is not a rejection of established contracting models, but a growing recognition that risk management depends far more on how contracts are used than which contracts are chosen.

Cost and inflation pressures continue to dominate construction risk

When asked to identify the biggest current risk to construction projects, a clear majority of webinar participants pointed to inflation.

  • 51.9% – inflation
  • 22.2% – unforeseen ground conditions
  • 18.5% – procurement risk and challenges
  • 7.4% – insolvency

These results mirror what we are seeing across active projects. Sustained inflationary pressure continues to undermine price certainty, placing significant strain on contractor margins and employer budgets alike. While insolvency ranked lowest in the poll, inflation and insolvency are often closely linked. As costs rise and margins narrow, financial fragility remains a latent risk even where it is not yet the most visible one.

The practical implication for clients is clear: inflation is no longer an exceptional risk to be managed occasionally, but a background condition shaping almost every commercial and contractual decision on a project.

NEC in widespread use – but confidence remains mixed

NEC continues to be widely used across the market, yet sentiment around its effectiveness in practice is nuanced.

When asked about attitudes to working with the NEC ECC:

  • 10.5% said they love it and see it as a game changer
  • 68.4% said they want to love it
  • 5.3% said they are using it because they have to, but prefer JCT
  • 15.8% said they would not touch it

The headline here is not rejection, but frustrated optimism. Most respondents support the principles that NEC promotes – collaboration, transparency and proactive risk management – but struggle with how consistently those principles are delivered on live projects.

In our experience, this gap often arises where NEC is adopted without sufficient consideration of the resourcing, behaviours and discipline required to make it work as intended. Early warning mechanisms, compensation events and programme management are powerful tools, but only where they are actively and confidently used.

Contract choice matters – but only up to a point

The continued comparison between JCT and NEC reflects different market preferences, project types and risk appetites. Both suites can be effective when aligned to the right project context.

JCT suite of contractsNEC4 suite of contracts
Risks are designated at the start of the process - most risk is allocated to the contractor.Proactive risk management throughout the project - the Programme is a contract document and is updated monthly.
Traditional fixed-price payment structures - cost certainty by specifying amounts upfront.The Early Warning Mechanism and the active risk register ensures a ‘no-surprise’ process which keeps the client aware of any risk of additional time or money.
Well-suited when employer's requirements are not likely to change.Compensation Events are assessed at the time they happen – the client will quickly know the impact of that Compensation Event, with the Project Manager’s evaluation of the increase to the Prices and the amendments to the Accepted Programme.
Market-standard for building projects - familiarity appeals to urban development and bank funded projects.Increased visibility enables the Client to regularly report internally on what the total of the Prices is looking like and when the contract is likely to complete.

The poll results suggest that contract form alone is no longer seen as the primary risk‑management lever. Instead, there is growing recognition that misalignment between contract model and project capability creates risk in itself.

Proactive contract management is becoming the differentiator

A consistent theme emerging from the webinar discussion is that effective risk management starts well before contract execution.

Key considerations include:

  • establishing a realistic project risk profile at the pre‑tender stage;
  • deciding which party is genuinely best placed to manage specific risks;
  • assessing whether there is adequate in‑house resource to administer the chosen contract; and
  • tailoring optional clauses and bespoke amendments to the project, rather than adopting them wholesale.

Under NEC, in particular, insufficiently resourced Project Manager functions and inconsistent use of contractual processes can quickly erode the benefits the contract is designed to deliver.

Looking ahead: managing risk beyond the paperwork

The market insight from the poll data is telling. There is broad acceptance that construction risk cannot be eliminated, but increasing focus on how risk is actively managed during delivery, rather than merely allocated on paper.

As inflationary pressures persist and project complexity continues to grow, the most resilient projects are likely to be those where clients and delivery teams move beyond contract choice alone, and invest in the people, processes and governance needed to manage risk day‑to‑day.

Some of the insights were from our Public Sector Insights (PSI) webinar, which you can rewatch here. To ensure that you do not miss invitations and insights to future sessions, sign up to our PSI mailings here.

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